House Explorer

Move one weight. Watch the modeled House panel change.

Apply the same statewide weight to every covered state. Each state delegation is solved separately under the paper’s linear benchmark, then the seat totals are added together.

Shared model controls

Choose a year, then change w

Paper benchmark ↗
w = 0.000 · 0%

Switching points will appear after a year loads.

At w = 0, every covered district retains its local plurality winner.

Modeled panel composition

Covered House seats at this weight

Democratic seats
Republican seats
Democratic Republican Outside the panel

All 435 positions are shown. The semicircle shows composition, not member seating or geography.

Democratic vote
Covered two-party vote
Republican vote

Two-party vote shares average the covered districts equally and remain fixed as w changes.

Panel coverage — of 435 seats

Seats outside the panel are not assigned to either party here.

Across the full weight range

Democratic share of covered House seats

Loading the seat-share path…

Democratic share of covered House seats by statewide weight The step line shows the modeled Democratic seat share from w equals zero through one. A marker identifies the selected weight.

Focused vertical scale will appear after the year loads.